Every fundamental analyst covering a consumer name has had that moment. Watching a stock price crash through the floor and struggling to figure out what’s driving it. Hearing management talk on an earnings call about how one of their key customer segments is struggling even though they didn’t mention it in your meeting two weeks ago. Watching a print come out miles away from consensus or guidance.
Without access to alternative data, many fundamental analysts are in the dark when it comes to understanding why stock prices are moving on their coverage. They are reliant on management’s biased outlook or consensus numbers from analysts.
Research Signal pulls back the curtain on market movements, shining a light on consumer spending and behavior provided by real data from millions of credit and debit cards. Each report, timed to the most crucial moments in the quarter, provides a top level quarterly revenue estimate along with analysis of the deep fundamental factors driving any inflection points.
One report, every driver that moves the name
A read on a single ticker rarely comes down to one number. It comes from the mix underneath it.
Research Signal brings that mix into a single report: prioritized key takeaways and the inflection points for the quarter, monthly trend analysis across transactions and average ticket, and sales mix by credit and debit, channel, geography, income, and age. Each report adds competitive trends, customer behavior, and a risks and considerations section that translates CE’s panel nuances into what matters for that specific ticker.
Instead of piecing the picture together across several providers, the drivers, the forecast, and the caveats all sit in one place. Separate the signal from the noise. Track the KPI, then go deeper to see if the quarter is an anomaly or an inflection point.
Accuracy you can check before you commit capital
The hardest thing to trust in any forecast is a number with no track record behind it.
The signal underneath it is not new. It rests on the same Consumer Edge panel and methodology backed by 10+ years of R&D, the same data the largest funds already trust. What is new is packaging tailored to the fundamental use case. That signal now arrives as structured, ticker-specific research rather than a firehose feed.
Every Research Signal report publishes an 8+ quarter backtest with stats around R2 and STD, along with the historical analyst accuracy record for that ticker, reinforcing the accuracy of the data and analysis. You verify the track record yourself, before you commit.
Timed to the three moments that decide the quarter
Research Signal tracks a single ticker through three points in the earnings cycle, each timed to where positioning decisions get made.
Each report delivers a real-time pulse for the most important KPI relevant to the ticker, powered by the latest and most accurate consumer spend data, and best-in-class analyst forecasts and data interpretation.
Built to fit the way you already work
Every report is delivered as a PDF with a complementary Excel file, so the underlying data layers straight into your own trackers and models.
Coverage sits at 70+ tickers, with more names being added. You can begin with only the names in your portfolio, at a price that fits your research budget. After seeing the value-add, you can widen coverage as your needs grow, with upgrade options to Dash for idea generation.
The position you take with a read in hand
The analyst working from an early, backtested read on revenue trajectory operates on a different footing than the one beholden to the print. They size positions with more conviction. They separate the competitor move that matters from the one that is noise. They walk into every management call with the data already in view.
That is the edge Research Signal was built to deliver. Accurate reads, the deep dives that matter, on the names that matter most.
